This week’s Australian Property Market Replace

key takeaways

Key takeaways

Australia’s housing market simply hit one other milestone.

The whole worth of all residential dwellings throughout the nation climbed to $11.37 trillion in March 2025, rising 1.2% over the quarter and nearly 6% over the yr.

With two rate of interest cuts already this yr, and extra on the way in which, we’ll see momentum decide up even additional.

On the flip aspect, we’re nonetheless not constructing sufficient properties.
The variety of dwellings grew to only over 11.33 million – up 179,900 over the yr – which sounds first rate till you do not forget that it’s properly under what the Housing Accord is aiming for.

This week, Cotality additionally experiences that:

*Sydney property costs elevated 0.1% over the past week, elevated 0.6% over the past month and are 1.3% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.

*Melbourne property costs elevated 0.1% over the past week, elevated 0.4% over the past month, and are -0.4% decrease in comparison with 12 months in the past.

*Brisbane property costs elevated 0.2% over the past week, elevated 0.7% over the past month and are 7.0% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.

Total, Australian capital dwelling costs elevated 0.6% over the past month and at the moment are 2.7% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.

The variety of properties taken to public sale fell to 1,786 final week.

The preliminary public sale clearance fee has held above the 70% mark for the previous 4 weeks and throughout eight of the previous ten weeks.

This present property cycle has been pushed by an undersupply of fine properties relative to present demand pushing up property values and rents there was nothing to counsel there will likely be any important change within the close to future.

Sadly, the undersupply properties goes to persist for a while with all commentators agreeing that there isn’t any method we will hit the housing development targets required to satisfy our demand.


The Reserve Financial institution board meets at this time and tomorrow and is broadly tipped to chop rates of interest for the third time this yr.

In actual fact, the market is tipping to extra rate of interest cuts are possible earlier than the top of the yr, and that is fueling purchaser confidence, which is clearly exhibiting up in very sturdy public sale clearance charges.

Financial institution Governor Michele Bullock repeatedly emphasised that controlling inflation was their main goal, and as soon as that’s achieved, Australians will reap the advantages in a while.

Inflation is operating at 2.1 per cent and underlying inflation is at 2.4 per cent – each underneath the mid-point of the RBA ’s goal band.

On the identical time, we’re experiencing weak retail gross sales and slowing constructing approvals knowledge, and our economic system is operating at a sluggish one-and-a-half per cent tempo, so now appears the correct time to decrease charges.

The query isn’t a lot whether or not we’ll get cuts, however what number of will we get.

On the public sale entrance this week…the variety of properties taken to public sale fell to 1,786 due to the varsity holidays.

The preliminary public sale clearance fee has held above the 70% mark for the previous 4 weeks and throughout eight of the previous ten weeks.

See Cotality’s full public sale report under.

This week, Cotality additionally experiences that:

  • Sydney property costs elevated 0.1%  over the past week,  elevated 0.6% over the past month and are 1.3% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.
  • Melbourne property costs elevated 0.1% over the past week,  elevated 0.4% over the past month, and are -0.4% decrease in comparison with 12 months in the past.
  • Brisbane property costs elevated 0.2% over the past week, elevated 0.7% over the past month and are 7.0% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.

Total, Australian capital dwelling costs elevated 0.6% over the past month and at the moment are 2.7% larger than they have been 12 months in the past.

Clearly, the property cycle is shifting on however our markets are very fragmented.

Weekly Change 07 July

Monthly Change 07 July

12 Month Change

Supply: Cotality July seventh 2025

In fact, these are “general” figures – there’s not one Sydney or Melbourne or Brisbane property market.

And numerous segments of every market are performing in another way.

Firstly of this cycle the higher quartile of the market lead the upswing however final yr the decrease quartile throughout each capital metropolis recorded a stronger consequence for housing values relative to its higher quartile counterpart.

The next chart reveals how numerous segments of every capital metropolis market are performing in another way with median-priced properties performing properly.

Quarterly Change In Stratified Hdi

28 Day Rolling Hvi

To assist hold you recent with all that is occurring in property, right here is my up to date weekly evaluation of information and charts as of seventh July  2025 supplied by SQM Analysis,  Cotality, and realestate.com.au.

Present property asking costs

Property asking costs are a helpful main indicator for housing markets – giving a great indication of what is forward.

Right here is the most recent knowledge obtainable:

Sydney

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes2,057,7370.6960.4%6.2%
All Models846,4103.4900.1%4.1%
Mixed1,564,8991.8330.3%5.5%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Melbourne

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,303,2432.0001.1%3.4%
All Models629,729-1.834-0.6%4.2%
Mixed1,090,5750.7900.7%3.3%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Brisbane

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,252,6582.0421.2%12.0%
All Models731,112-1.7121.8%15.8%
Mixed1,121,5951.0981.3%12.5%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Perth

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,151,7691.7281.2%12.6%
All Models635,810-0.369-1.3%20.6%
Mixed1,016,6271.1790.8%13.7%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Adelaide

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,063,5012.5992.1%17.3%
All Models557,604-4.2090.2%18.7%
Mixed972,5241.3751.9%17.4%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Canberra

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,198,29914.0763.7%-1.0%
All Models597,937-0.7120.2%-0.4%
Mixed974,5968.5662.9%-1.4%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Darwin

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes766,277-7.277-1.2%16.4%
All Models411,6402.1101.1%9.8%
Mixed626,937-3.589-0.6%14.6%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Hobart

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes844,2720.182-0.4%7.2%
All Models496,2505.050-1.6%-1.6%
Mixed791,2860.923-0.5%6.2%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Nationwide

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,004,4491.0280.5%9.7%
All Models582,812-0.9110.4%5.3%
Mixed913,2880.6090.5%9.0%

Supply: SQM Analysis

Cap Metropolis Common

Property kindWorth ($)Weekly ChangeMonth-to-month Change %Annual % change
All Homes1,488,862-2.5220.3%7.3%
All Models731,7012.5320.2%6.6%
Mixed1,263,455-1.0170.3%6.9%

Supply: SQM Analysis

The worth of property asking costs as a number one indicator for housing markets is sort of important.

In actual fact it is extra precious than median costs which could be fairly deceptive.

Let’s delve into why that is the case and the way it impacts the actual property market.

  1. Early Market Sentiment Indicator: Asking costs typically mirror the present sentiment of sellers in the actual property market.
    If sellers are assured, they could set larger asking costs, anticipating sturdy demand.
    Conversely, if sellers are unsure or understand a market downturn, they could decrease their asking costs to draw patrons.
    This makes asking costs a real-time indicator of market sentiment, typically previous adjustments in precise gross sales costs.
  2. Predictive of Future Worth Traits: Traits in asking costs could be predictive of the place the precise property costs are headed.
    For instance, a constant rise in asking costs over a interval can sign an upcoming rise in transaction costs.
  3. Influence of Financial Components: Financial components reminiscent of rates of interest, employment charges, and broader financial well being affect asking costs.
    For example, adjustments within the Reserve Financial institution of Australia’s insurance policies or shifts within the job market can shortly mirror within the asking costs, offering insights into how these components are influencing the housing market.
  4. Regional Variations: In a various market like Australia’s, asking costs can even present insights into regional disparities.
    For example, the property markets in Melbourne and Sydney would possibly behave in another way from these in Brisbane or Perth. Asking costs can provide early indications of those regional traits.
  5. Affect of Provide and Demand: Asking costs are additionally a response to the stability of provide and demand available in the market.
    In areas with restricted provide and excessive demand, asking costs are typically larger and vice versa.

Nevertheless, it is necessary to notice that whereas asking costs are a precious indicator, they shouldn’t be utilized in isolation.

Different components like precise gross sales costs, time in the marketplace, public sale clearance charges, and financial situations additionally play essential roles in understanding the property market dynamics.

READ MORE: The newest median property costs in Australia’s main cities

Final weekend’s public sale report

Public sale volumes fall throughout the mixed capitals

The variety of properties taken to public sale fell to 1,786 final week, the bottom because the King’s Birthday lengthy weekend 4 weeks prior, however barely larger than on the identical time final yr (1,776).

73.1% of properties have reported a profitable outcome up to now, down from 74.5% the week prior (revised right down to 67.9% which was the very best remaining clearance fee since March 2024).

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